Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chigoziem Okonkwo from EV Insight

Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards

Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 19.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-115).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans will be forced to start backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the bottom tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 5.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards