WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 63.5 (-115) after it opened @ 68.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 17.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
- Miles Sanders has been given 54.0% of his offense’s carries this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
- Miles Sanders has rushed for many more yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).
Cons
- The Philadelphia Eagles will be starting backup QB Gardner Minshew in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Eagles are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
