WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
James ConnerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 18.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
- THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this week (75.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.3% in games he has played).
- James Conner has averaged 58.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (80th percentile).
Cons
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards
81
Rushing Yards
