Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 18.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this week (75.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.3% in games he has played).
James Conner has averaged 58.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (80th percentile).

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

Projection

THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards