WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Ravens vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-105/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-120) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has been a key part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has notched a colossal 69.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (175.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
- Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 58.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 9th percentile among wide receivers
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
