WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 85.5 (-139) after it opened @ 88.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 98.7% of his offense’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Ja’Marr Chase to garner 10.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
- Ja’Marr Chase has put up quite a few more receiving yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (78.0).
Cons
- The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
- Ja’Marr Chase has put up quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (105.0 per game).
- Ja’Marr Chase’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 9.18 yards-per-target compared to a 10.34 figure last season.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wide receivers this year (64.2%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
89
Receiving Yards
89
Receiving Yards
