Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-125) after it opened @ 30.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to garner 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing a terrific 78.7% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Noah Fant’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this season, accumulating 6.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.10 figure last season.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

Cons

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his team’s pass game this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 38.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards