Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).

Pros

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accrue 4.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has totaled a monstrous 27.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper’s 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for TEs.
Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.6%.

Cons

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards