Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Moore from EV Insight

Chris MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-115) after it opened @ 34.5 (-114).

Pros

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a huge 17.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 69.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Chris Moore has been among the top wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 7.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Cons

The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 133.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (64%) vs. WRs this year (64.0%).
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards