Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mike White from EV Insight

Mike WhitePassing Yards

Right now, Mike White’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (+105/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 245.5 (-130) after it opened @ 247.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense as the 6th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.49 seconds per play.
Mike White has attempted 36.7 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile among quarterbacks.
Mike White has been among the top quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 275.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Cons

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Mike White’s passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.7% to 64.1%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, conceding 7.26 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
223
Passing Yards