WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-120) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.7 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- Diontae Johnson has run a route on 97.0% of his offense’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to total 8.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
- The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the league (177.0) to wideouts this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Diontae Johnson has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
- Diontae Johnson has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).
- Diontae Johnson’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.6% to 61.2%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
