Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster from EV Insight

JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards

Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-125) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has totaled quite a few more receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Cons

The Chiefs are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (74.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (93.0%).
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 128.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.91 yards-per-target to the position: the least in football.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards