Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Miles Sanders has run for quite a few more yards per game (77.0) this season than he did last season (57.0).
- Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (137 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.
Cons
- The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards
75
Rushing Yards
