Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Harrison BryantReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Texans vs. Browns
Right now, Harrison Bryant’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-117/-117).
The public has bet the OVER up to 31.5 (-117) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (47.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (27.8%).
- THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to notch 4.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
- Harrison Bryant’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.5% to 70.5%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
