Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Harrison Bryant from EV Insight

Harrison BryantReceiving Yards

Right now, Harrison Bryant’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-117/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 31.5 (-117) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (47.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (27.8%).
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to notch 4.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Cons

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Harrison Bryant’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.5% to 70.5%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards