WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Garrett WilsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Jets vs. Bears
Right now, Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (-142) after it opened @ 53.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Mike White in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to notch 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
- Garrett Wilson has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 22.1% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
- Garrett Wilson has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 55.0 yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (71.6%) versus wideouts this year (71.6%).
Cons
- The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
- The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards
51
Receiving Yards
