Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Jeff WilsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Dolphins vs. Texans
Right now, Jeff Wilson’s rushing yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-145/+115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 81.5 (-145) after it opened @ 81.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to accumulate 19.1 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
- Jeffery Wilson has rushed for a lot more yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
- Opposing offenses have run for the most yards in the league (178 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
- The Miami Dolphins have gone for it on 4th down just 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Rushing Yards
85
Rushing Yards
