Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 81.5 (-110) after it opened @ 78.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 11.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
DeAndre Hopkins has compiled significantly more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Cons

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
DeAndre Hopkins’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 8.67 yards-per-target compared to a 9.78 figure last season.
DeAndre Hopkins’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a measly 2.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 figure last year.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
99
Receiving Yards