Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to accumulate 13.1 carries in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 58.9% of his team’s carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.14 yards-per-carry.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
Austin Ekeler has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.74 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards