WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
49ers vs. Saints
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Saints are a heavy 8.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
- Chris Olave has totaled a colossal 124.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among wideouts.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Completion% in football (70.7%) versus WRs this year (70.7%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.
- Chris Olave has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 61.8% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
- Chris Olave has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
