NFL

Bets

November 25, 2022

Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Keenan Allen from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Keenan AllenReceiving Yards

Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-105) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Keenan Allen has been among the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 69.0 yards per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 7.72 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards