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Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

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Josh Jacobs

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Seahawks vs. Raiders

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 77.5 (-110) after it opened @ 81.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 19.9 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a more integral piece of his team’s rushing attack this season (87.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (67.7%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Josh Jacobs has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (93.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most yards in the league (143 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
Cons

  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection
THE BLITZ
92
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Godwin from EV Insight Next Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight