Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Eagles vs. Packers
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (+100/-122).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 220.5 (-122) after it opened @ 232.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Jalen Hurts has passed for significantly more yards per game (229.0) this year than he did last year (194.0).
- Jalen Hurts’s passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.3% to 67.5%.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 7.89 yards-per-target while grading out in the 85th percentile.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.8 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
204
Passing Yards
204
Passing Yards
