Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-120) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accumulate 8.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has been much more involved in his team’s pass attack this year (33.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.6%).
Mark Andrews has accrued a colossal 95.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews’s ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, totaling 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.70 figure last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.2%) versus tight ends this year (76.2%).

Cons

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards