Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Falcons vs. Bears
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 40.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to earn 6.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.9% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has accumulated a monstrous 64.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among wideouts.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (71.6%) vs. WRs this year (71.6%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.6 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
- Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, catching a mere 60.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among wideouts
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
