Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jamaal Williams from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Jamaal Williams

Jamaal WilliamsRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 11

Giants vs. Lions

Right now, Jamaal Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Jamaal Williams has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
  • The New York Giants defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.24 yards-per-carry.
Cons

  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.

Projection
THE BLITZ
68
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Justin Fields from EV Insight Next Gross Bombs: Week 11 NFL Bets