Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jakobi Meyers from EV Insight

Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards

Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Jakobi Meyers has put up a whopping 68.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Cons

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The New York Jets defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards