Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Patriots vs. Jets
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
- Jakobi Meyers has put up a whopping 68.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among wideouts.
- Jakobi Meyers has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
Cons
- The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) versus wide receivers this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
