Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tee HigginsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Steelers vs. Bengals
Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (+100) after it opened @ 73.5 (-125).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.8% pass rate.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accrue 8.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
- Tee Higgins has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 66.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
Cons
- The Bengals are an enormous 7-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Tee Higgins has posted quite a few less air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus WRs this year (62.7%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
