Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Andy Dalton from EV Insight

Andy DaltonPassing Yards

Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 214.5 (-142) after it opened @ 226.5 (-115).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Andy Dalton has passed for substantially more yards per game (212.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-most yards in football (285.0 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.25 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the league.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 25.5 passes this week, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in football against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

Projection

THE BLITZ
156
Passing Yards