Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Packers vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-105) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.0% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
- The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
- The Dallas Cowboys O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
- The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
- Dalton Schultz has posted substantially fewer receiving yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
