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Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

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Austin Hooper

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 9

Chiefs vs. Titans

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 9.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 9.5 (-120) after it opened @ 10.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Austin Hooper has run a route on 59.1% of his team’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
  • Austin Hooper has earned a whopping 10.1% of his team’s air yards this year: 79th percentile among TEs.
  • Austin Hooper’s possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 79.3%.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Austin Hooper has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).

Projection
THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight Next Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Malik Willis from EV Insight