Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Allen Lazard from EV Insight

Allen LazardReceiving Yards

Right now, Allen Lazard’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.8% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Allen Lazard has accrued far more air yards this season (86.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
Allen Lazard has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (178.0) to wideouts this year.

Cons

The Packers are a big 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards