Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cordarrelle PattersonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Falcons vs. Chargers
Right now, Cordarrelle Patterson’s rushing yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (+116/-160).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 38.5 (-160) after it opened @ 40.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 5.91 yards-per-carry.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.10 seconds per snap.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Rushing Yards
42
Rushing Yards
