Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Chris GodwinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Buccaneers vs. Rams
Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to total 9.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
- Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
- Chris Godwin has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
- Chris Godwin has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
- Chris Godwin’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 69.7%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards
79
Receiving Yards
