Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 9.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has posted many more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Cons

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.9 plays per game.
DK Metcalf has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 59.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among WRs
DK Metcalf has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 7.15 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 17th percentile among wide receivers
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, yielding 8.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards