Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling out backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.7 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has totaled many more receiving yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

Cons

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Michael Pittman has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards