Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-114/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 76.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-114).

Pros

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
Tony Pollard’s rushing effectiveness (5.10 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (76th percentile among RBs).
Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-most yards in football (153 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
99
Rushing Yards