WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Cowboys vs. Bears
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 236.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 236.5 (-137) after it opened @ 244.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Dak Prescott has been among the top passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 262.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing teams have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
- Dak Prescott’s throwing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 58.3%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards
266
Passing Yards
