Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 68.5 (-114) after it opened @ 72.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to accrue 17.8 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has generated 56.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).
The Denver Broncos defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.11 yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
The Denver Broncos defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have incorporated motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Rushing Yards