Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight

Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards

Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).

Pros

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 17.0 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this season (54.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (34.9%).
Rhamondre Stevenson has run for quite a few more yards per game (67.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New York Jets defense owns the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards