Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 229.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 229.5 (-115) after it opened @ 232.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Jalen Hurts has passed for significantly more yards per game (241.0) this year than he did last year (194.0).

Cons

The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.7 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards