Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
A.J. BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Eagles vs. Steelers
Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-115) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
- The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
- A.J. Brown has accrued significantly more receiving yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).
Cons
- The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- A.J. Brown has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards
71
Receiving Yards
