Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for A.J. Brown from EV Insight

A.J. BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-115) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
A.J. Brown has accrued significantly more receiving yards per game (82.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

Cons

The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
A.J. Brown has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (97.0 per game).

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards