Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Eagles vs. Steelers
Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
- The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
- Dallas Goedert has compiled quite a few more receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
Cons
- The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Dallas Goedert has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (66.5%) vs. tight ends this year (66.5%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
