Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to earn 10.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.6 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
D.J. Moore has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards