Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Falcons vs. Panthers
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has been an integral part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 30.5% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
- Drake London has garnered a colossal 31.4% of his offense’s air yards this year: 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.3 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 58.6% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among wideouts
Projection
THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards
68
Receiving Yards
