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Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashod Bateman from EV Insight

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Rashod Bateman

Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 8

Buccaneers vs. Ravens

Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-105) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to notch 7.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • Rashod Bateman has posted many more air yards this season (70.0 per game) than he did last season (52.0 per game).
  • Rashod Bateman’s 53.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 36.2.
Cons

  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.1 plays per game.
  • Rashod Bateman’s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 56.2%.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60%) versus WRs this year (60.0%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 6.82 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.

Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards

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