Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-140/+110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-140) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 68.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Cons

The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on a lowly 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards