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Chris Meaney
David NjokuReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-114) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accrue 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
- David Njoku has accrued significantly more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- David Njoku’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching just 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.64 rate last season.
- The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
