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Chris Meaney
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-105) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.3% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accumulate 5.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
- The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (63.0) to TEs this year.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.5% pass rate.
- Dalton Schultz has notched far fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
- Dalton Schultz has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 53.0%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
