Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-114) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accrue 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has accrued significantly more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
David Njoku’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching just 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.64 rate last season.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards