Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-114/-114).
Pros
- The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
- Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing attack this year (28.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Amari Cooper’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.7% to 61.8%.
- Amari Cooper’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 7.47 yards-per-target compared to a 9.76 mark last year.
- Amari Cooper has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
