Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Jaguars vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 196.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 196.5 (-110) after it opened @ 194.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.91 seconds per snap.
- Daniel Jones’s passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.5% to 67.7%.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.01 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the league.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.6 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Daniel Jones has passed for quite a few less yards per game (177.0) this season than he did last season (218.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
228
Passing Yards
228
Passing Yards
